Bitcoin has managed to reclaim the $100,000 stage after briefly dipping beneath it earlier this week — a transfer that triggered widespread panic promoting and bolstered bearish sentiment throughout the market. The sharp selloff liquidated leveraged positions and despatched concern metrics surging, however the swift restoration reveals that patrons are nonetheless lively close to key demand zones.
Based on a brand new report by CryptoOnchain, the current market turbulence coincides with a surge in “sizzling cash” flows to Binance. Knowledge from CryptoQuant reveals a notable spike in month-to-month Bitcoin inflows to the trade throughout October 2025, signaling heightened speculative exercise. What’s notably important is that this influx is pushed nearly completely by “younger” cash — UTXOs aged between 0 and 1 day — suggesting that short-term merchants and algorithmic members are dominating current actions.
This development highlights a transparent uptick in intraday and momentum-driven buying and selling, usually linked to volatility and short-lived worth swings. Whereas such dynamics can amplify draw back danger, additionally they are inclined to precede sturdy market reversals as soon as liquidity stabilizes. As Bitcoin regains footing above the $100K threshold, the market now watches carefully to see whether or not this wave of speculative capital marks the start of a broader restoration or simply one other short-term bounce.
“Scorching Cash” Drives Trade Exercise, however Lengthy-Time period Holders Keep Agency
Based on CryptoOnchain, inflows from “younger” Bitcoin cash have surged sharply, leaping from roughly $18 billion in September to almost $26 billion in October. This marks one of many highest influx ranges up to now 12 months, underscoring heightened exercise amongst day merchants, speculators, and arbitrage bots. Such conduct usually emerges when markets expertise elevated volatility or uncertainty, as short-term members transfer property onto exchanges to place for fast trades.
Traditionally, sharp will increase in trade inflows usually trace at bearish sentiment or potential promoting strain, as merchants put together to take income or hedge danger. Nevertheless, the UTXO age breakdown tells a extra layered story. Inflows from older cash, usually held by long-term holders (LTHs), stay negligible and near zero. This divergence signifies that the current exercise is basically short-term in nature, confined to merchants reacting to quick market circumstances somewhat than long-term traders exiting positions.
In essence, whereas “sizzling cash” inflows may amplify short-term volatility, Bitcoin’s structural basis stays intact. The core investor base continues holding off-exchange, exhibiting resilience amid market turbulence.
The report means that the Bitcoin market is break up into two: speculative capital chasing short-term alternatives on one facet, and long-term conviction holders quietly standing agency on the opposite. This steadiness may decide whether or not the subsequent transfer is one other shakeout or the beginning of a brand new accumulation part.
Bitcoin Faces Resistance After Temporary Restoration
Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart reveals a fragile restoration following its sharp decline beneath the $100,000 stage earlier this week. After hitting a low close to $98,900, BTC rebounded modestly to $103,000, the place it now faces quick resistance from the 20-day and 50-day transferring averages (blue and inexperienced traces). These averages have began to slope downward, confirming the short-term bearish development and capping upside makes an attempt.
The $105,000–$107,000 zone represents the subsequent important resistance space. A break above this vary would seemingly entice quick overlaying and sign the primary indicators of stabilization. Nevertheless, failure to reclaim this zone may result in renewed promoting strain, with potential retests of $100,000 and even $97,500, a key psychological help stage.
Buying and selling quantity stays elevated, reflecting ongoing market volatility and uncertainty. Whereas bulls have managed to defend $100K for now, momentum stays weak, and sentiment remains to be closely bearish throughout derivatives and spot markets.
Bitcoin is consolidating inside a fragile construction, making an attempt to construct a base after important liquidations. To regain bullish momentum, BTC should reclaim its short-term transferring averages and maintain above $107K — in any other case, draw back dangers persist as merchants stay cautious following the current leverage wipeout.
Featured picture from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
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