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Ethereum Is ‘Completely Dead’ As An Investment: Hedge Fund

March 31, 2025
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Trusted Editorial content material, reviewed by main trade specialists and seasoned editors. Advert Disclosure

In a submit on X this previous weekend, Quinn Thompson, Chief Funding Officer (CIO) of Lekker Capital, declared that Ethereum (ETH) is “fully lifeless” as an funding. His feedback sparked a flurry of responses from distinguished figures within the crypto trade, together with Nic Carter of Fort Island Ventures, Columbia Enterprise College professor Omid Malekan, and VB Capital’s Scott Johnsson.

Thompson, who oversees investments at Lekker Capital, set off the talk with a submit stating: “Make no mistake, ETH as an funding is totally lifeless. A $225 billion market cap community that’s seeing declines in transaction exercise, person progress and costs/revenues. There isn’t any funding case right here. As a community with utility? Sure. As an funding? Completely not.”

He additionally shared a set of metrics to underscore Ethereum’s current stagnation, together with information on energetic addresses, transaction counts, and new deal with creation.

Ethereum on-chain metrics
Ethereum on-chain metrics | Supply: X @qthomp

Is Ethereum ‘Lifeless’ As An Funding?

The provocative assertion attracted quick responses from distinguished voices throughout the crypto ecosystem, triggering a debate over Ethereum’s financial and funding thesis, and particularly, the affect of Layer 2 (L2) scaling options on Ethereum’s native token economics.

Nic Carter, companion at Fort Island Ventures and co-founder of blockchain analytics agency Coinmetrics, swiftly responded, pinpointing Ethereum’s valuation dilemma squarely on the toes of its Layer 2 scaling implementations:“The #1 reason for that is grasping eth L2s siphoning worth from the L1 and the social consensus that extra token creation was A-OK. Eth was buried in an avalanche of its personal tokens. Died by its personal hand.”

Thompson strengthened Carter’s criticism by suggesting that Ethereum’s group consensus had inadvertently favored token proliferation as a wealth-generation mechanism, in the end undermining ETH’s funding narrative: “The social consensus amongst .eth’s in favor of extra tokens was as a result of the creation of infinite L2s, staking, restaking, DA, and so on and so on all enriched their pockets on the way in which up however nobody desires to face the music now that the market is saying that was a mistake.”

Nonetheless, this viewpoint was contested by Omid Malekan, professor at Columbia Enterprise College and specialist in cryptocurrency and blockchain expertise since 2019. Malekan underscored Layer 2s’ crucial function in blockchain scalability and argued that any value-extraction by these secondary layers was not inherently detrimental to Ethereum’s foundational token economics: “L2s are the one viable technique to scale any blockchain. Whether or not their tokens seize worth or not is a separate query. However it could actually’t be that L2s ‘siphoned worth from ETH’ but didn’t seize worth themselves. Safety isn’t free.”

Malekan additional challenged Thompson’s declare by questioning whether or not Ethereum might realistically grow to be the primary instance in historical past of a broadly adopted technological community whose utility didn’t generate any significant monetary return: “Is Ethereum going to be the primary community ‘with utility’ in trendy historical past the place the community results aren’t monetized? Are you able to present every other examples of this taking place?”

In response, Thompson clarified his argument, highlighting that monetization is certainly occurring inside the Ethereum ecosystem, however not sufficiently accruing to ETH itself to validate the cryptocurrency’s present market capitalization. He illustrated this level with an analogy: “There’s tons of community results being monetized in every single place, simply not sufficient to ETH to justify its present valuation. Do all of the community results of the oil community and utilization of oil accrue to grease?”

Nonetheless, the oil analogy drew skepticism from Scott Johnsson, Common Companion at VB Capital, who critiqued Thompson’s comparability as a result of Ethereum’s distinctive tokenomics, notably its deflationary token burning mechanics influenced immediately by community utilization:

“I don’t disagree along with your directional name, however I believe this analogy falls flat. ETH ‘manufacturing’ is inversely correlated with utilization, which is definitely not the case with oil. In order oil worth will increase, there’s a demand response and a provide response. With ETH, it’s restricted to the demand response. If ETH consumption seems like barrel consumption, then the value of ETH is way extra more likely to accrue worth.”

But Thompson continued to disagree with Johnsson’s evaluation, arguing that historic patterns don’t essentially assist the declare of inverse correlation between Ethereum manufacturing and utilization: “I disagree. We’ve by no means seen a sustained time frame the place ‘ETH manufacturing is inversely correlated with utilization.’ Clearly, the ‘manufacturing’ mechanics differ from oil, however equally excessive ETH worth is prohibitive to demand, therefore L2s and cheaper different L1s.”

Acknowledging a doable misunderstanding, Johnsson clarified he was not predicting future Ethereum utilization situations, emphasizing as an alternative the theoretically inverse relationship between token burn and transaction quantity beneath the present Ethereum community design: “I believe we’re speaking previous one another a bit. I don’t assume it’s debatable that if ETH utilization will increase that it results in extra burn and fewer inflation (manufacturing). I’m particularly not making future predictions on that utilization. In any occasion, your final level is okay imo as a result of the demand aspect is so delicate to actually any value.”

At press time, ETH traded at $1,793.

Ethereum price
ETH worth, 1-week chart | Supply: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Editorial Course of for bitcoinist is centered on delivering totally researched, correct, and unbiased content material. We uphold strict sourcing requirements, and every web page undergoes diligent evaluation by our group of prime expertise specialists and seasoned editors. This course of ensures the integrity, relevance, and worth of our content material for our readers.



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